Actually, Obama's up by 15 if you include Bob Barr and Ralph Nader. That would match the < gasp > Newsweek poll that everyone thought was an outlier.
LA Times/Bloomberg June 19-23, Registered Voters (MoE +/-3)
Obama 49
McCain 37
Want more? how about all that wasted bandwidth about left-handed single white voters in KY (and will they go for Obama?)
Among white voters, Obama and McCain are dead even at 39% each, the poll found. Earlier this year, when Obama ran behind Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) among white voters in some primary elections, analysts questioned whether the African American senator could win white voters in the general election.
A perennial favorite with the talking heads is "divided Democrats and disaffected Clinton voters":
But the great majority of Clinton voters have transferred their allegiance to Obama, the poll found. Only 11% of Clinton voters have defected to McCain.
More:
"McCain is not capturing the full extent of the conservative base the way President Bush did in 2000 and 2004," said Susan Pinkus, director of the Times Poll. "Among conservatives, evangelicals and voters who identify themselves as part of the religious right, he is polling less than 60%.
"Meanwhile, Obama is doing well among a broad range of voters," she said. "He's running ahead among women, black voters and other minorities. He's running roughly even among white voters and independents."
If anyone is divided, it's Republicans. If there are any left. Hey, speaking of anvils, how's the most unpopular President in history doing?
The survey found public approval of President Bush's job performance at a new low for the Times/Bloomberg Poll: only 23% approved of the job Bush is doing, and 73% disapproved.
A bare majority of 51% of voters said they have a "positive feeling" about the Democratic Party; only 29% said they have a positive feeling about the Republican Party.
"It's a Democratic year," Pinkus said. "This election is the Democrats' to lose."
Welcome to the new CW. A poll is a poll; a snapshot in time. The question is whether the data will change the existing narrative.
Here's betting it won't.
