According to the government's a series of policies in the car industry in our country, the car industry's perspective is not so bright. At first, advocate vigorously;and then, restrict to discharge;at last, the lasting environment problem leads to the restriction to cars in developed cities. That means without immobility the windwill can't operate.
As we all know that, an automoblie maker can drive large quantities of enterprises, with the circujacent enterprises making a pile. Also,it is a great driving force that each region introduces into cars after another. However, the following situation is looking blue. All is doing the same things and repeating the items, resulting in lagging technology price war.
Why must we make cars? Well, we can't deny the great benefits automoblile brings to Amecica. Not only did we learn their strongpoint, but also China's cars dream didn't come true. However, as the fact that the present cannot be compare with the past, America, Japan, Germany and other countries can meet the requirments in the global markets more than sufficient. Those products made by our country may not choose in customer's decision.
Someone says, there are still many people haven't own cara yet in China, as well as Africa. But the question is that whether the world allow everyboby to own car or not. Of course, the answer must be negated for the following management problems are extremely bad, not mention the serious problems brought by benzine and road. It will be a quite long time that many Chinese car dealers will be frustrated, or only sustain in business.It is too early to have car dreams for Africa.
What strongpoint do we have? The only advantage is the cheap labour force. However, automoblile is not a labor-intensive industry completely. Actually, technology are far more important than labor force, which we get behind to a large extent. Nobody can gain say the fact. There is a conspicuous disparity.
The problems management face is on the horizon. For instance, the reatriction for cars on the way. Why advocate the purchase of cars at first? There are so many ways to affect consumer. Isn't it squander resources? Do other countries continue follow the lead?
Someone doubts that my saying may bring calamity to the country and people. We cannot make cars in the future and be enslaved to others. I have never approved to be so great. As far as I am concerned, we should not promote auto vigorously but support a few of emphsizing enterprise.
The key is to take views of things over the long haul. Chinese population density, is very high, expecially developed countries'prohibition to overly autos. The world must not allow each person own a car in the future. The time, at which America developed the auto industry, was totally different from the current situation China faced, though America made a great success. We can make airplane, train, aircraft carrier and other more advanced technology. Why must we make autos? We can make subways; we can perfect the forms of pubic transportation, for instance, observate the stream of people, individualize public transportation. All those measures provide employment and stimulate consumption.
In the public transportation system, twenty-mile journey needs an hour, not because the auto is not good, but the private car and bus strive for roads. Sometimes, the passenger want to solve the problem by buying auto, but the issue cannot be addressed. Only the government can give the resolution.
Zhan Likui 2008.11.22