2009: 中国经济不会迅速反弹

读者: 21317    发布时间: 01-02

原文: No quick rebound for 2009 economy

China's economy is unlikely to rebound quickly in 2009, and there is further room to loosen the monetary policy, an official from a top government think tank said.

"It will take a while for enterprises to absorb their stock and the economy will continue to decelerate in 2009," Fan Jianping, chief economist of the State Information Center, was quoted by the China Securities Journal as saying.

Fan said deflationary pressure will appear in 2009. Producer price index is likely to have negative growth in the first half, while consumer inflation may remain low.

China's economic growth slowed to 9 percent in the third quarter year-on-year, the lowest in five years. Meanwhile, the consumer price index also declined from a record high of 8.7 percent in February to 2.4 in November.

Fan said the central bank could continue to loosen monetary policy if loan growth turns out to be sluggish next year.

 

By Wang Xu (chinadaily.com.cn)
Updated: 2008-12-30 15:25

译文: 2009: 中国经济不会迅速反弹


据一位政府高层智囊团专家称,2009年中国经济不可能迅速反弹,落实适度宽松货币政策的力度可加大。

《中国证券报》引用了国家信息中心首席经济师范剑平的预测,2009年我国宏观经济处于整体减速期,企业融资融券尚需时日。

范称2009年将出现通缩压力,上半年生产者物价指数(PPI)负增长可能性非常大,而居民消费物价上涨则可能性不大。

08年第三季度中国经济增长放缓至9%,同比为5年最低。与此同时居民消费价格指数也从08年2月份8.7%的历史高点回落至11月份的2.4%。

范称如果明年银行惜贷、货币供应量持续低迷,央行将继续推行适度宽松的货币政策。

自《中国日报》英文版